GA-06 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)

Polymarket traders put "Democrat 65-70%" at 24.5% on "GA-06 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)". Down 2.0%p from yesterday. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.

Most likely right now
Democrat 65-70%
2.025%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $234Liquidity $9.7Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability

Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Democrat 65-70%
24.5%
2.0
Democrat 70%+
24.0%
2.0
Democrat 55-60%
22.5%
2.0
Democrat 45-50%
21.5%
2.5
Democrat 40-45%
21.5%
4.5
Democrat 0-30%
21.5%
1.5
Democrat 60-65%
20.5%
0.5
Democrat 30-40%
20.5%
3.5
Democrat 50-55%
19.0%
2.5
Republican Wins
2.20%
0.6

Probability over time

Democrat 65-70%
Democrat 70%+
Democrat 55-60%
Democrat 45-50%
Democrat 40-45%
Democrat 0-30%
02550751008/258/26
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.