GA-09 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
Polymarket traders put "Republican 25-30%" at 25.5% on "GA-09 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)". There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Republican 25-30%
–26%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $14KLiquidity $159Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 25-30%
25.5%
–
Republican 30-35%
22.5%
–
Republican 20-25%
19.5%
–
Republican 35-40%
10.9%
▼0.5
Republican 15-20%
6.65%
–
Republican 40-45%
5.50%
▲0.9
Republican 5-15%
2.65%
–
Republican 0-5%
1.05%
–
Republican 45%+
0.20%
–
Democrat Wins
0.15%
–
Probability over time
Republican 25-30%
Republican 30-35%
Republican 20-25%
Republican 35-40%
Republican 15-20%
Republican 40-45%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
