GA-10 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)

Polymarket traders put "Republican 30%+" at 32.0% on "GA-10 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)". Down 1.0%p from yesterday. There are 8 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.

Most likely right now
Republican 30%+
1.032%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $140Liquidity $1.5Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability

Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Republican 30%+
32.0%
1.0
Republican 5-10%
31.0%
3.0
Republican 25-30%
30.5%
1.0
Republican 20-25%
30.0%
2.0
Republican 15-20%
27.5%
0.5
Republican 0-5%
24.5%
2.0
Democrat Wins
24.5%
16.0
Republican 10-15%
23.5%
4.5

Probability over time

Republican 30%+
Republican 5-10%
Republican 25-30%
Republican 20-25%
Republican 15-20%
Republican 0-5%
02550751008/258/26
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.