GA-11 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)

Polymarket traders put "Republican 5-10%" at 33.5% on "GA-11 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)". Down 1.5%p from yesterday. There are 7 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.

Most likely right now
Republican 5-10%
1.534%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $209Liquidity $1.4Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability

Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Republican 5-10%
33.5%
1.5
Republican 35%+
31.0%
0.5
Republican 30-35%
30.5%
8.5
Republican 10-15%
30.5%
4.5
Republican 0-5%
24.5%
7.5
Republican 15-20%
21.5%
12.0
Democrat Wins
5.50%
1.0

Probability over time

Republican 5-10%
Republican 35%+
Republican 30-35%
Republican 10-15%
Republican 0-5%
Republican 15-20%
02550751008/258/26
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.