GA-11 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)

Polymarket traders put "Republican 5-10%" at 32.4% on "GA-11 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)". Down 9.4%p from yesterday. $198 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 9 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.

Most likely right now
Republican 5-10%
▼9.432%
PoliticsVol $198Total volume $10.0KLiquidity $25Kin 24 days (Nov 4)
Current probability

Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Republican 5-10%
32.4%
▼9.4
Republican 10-15%
27.5%
▲3.0
Republican 15-20%
25.0%
▼8.2
Republican 30-35%
13.2%
▲8.6
Republican 20-25%
6.50%
▼4.5
Republican 35%+
5.75%
–
Republican 0-5%
4.40%
▲2.5
Republican 25-30%
4.20%
▼0.5
Democrat Wins
1.80%
–

Probability over time

Republican 5-10%
Republican 10-15%
Republican 15-20%
Republican 30-35%
Republican 20-25%
Republican 35%+
02550751008/259/99/169/239/3010/710/10
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.