Gambia Presidential Election Winner

Polymarket traders put "Adama Barrow" at 72.5% on "Gambia Presidential Election Winner". Up 16.0%p from yesterday. $3.9K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 7 possible outcomes. It resolves on Dec 5.

Most likely right now
Adama Barrow
16.073%
PoliticsVol $3.9KTotal volume $3.9KLiquidity $21Kin 3 months (Dec 5)
Current probability

Sep 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Adama Barrow
72.5%
16.0
Ousainou Darboe
16.0%
13.0
Essa Faal
6.50%
0.5
Talib Ahmed Bensouda
6.00%
17.5
Bakary K. Badjie
4.50%
4.0
Mohamed Al Amin Bah
4.05%
22.4
Mama Kandeh
1.95%
6.0

Probability over time

Adama Barrow
Ousainou Darboe
Essa Faal
Talib Ahmed Bensouda
Bakary K. Badjie
Mohamed Al Amin Bah
02550751009/99/10
2026-09-09 ~ 2026-09-10 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.