Guinea-Bissau Presidential Election
Polymarket traders put "Fernando Dias da Costa" at 17.3% on "Guinea-Bissau Presidential Election". Up 1.4%p from yesterday. $277 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 12 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 24.
Most likely right now
Fernando Dias da Costa
▲1.417%
PoliticsVol $277Total volume $342KLiquidity $116KComments 17Closed (Nov 24)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Fernando Dias da Costa
17.3%
▲1.4
Umaro Sissoco Embaló
17.1%
▲3.9
José Mário Vaz
2.20%
–
João Bernardo Vieira
1.60%
–
Mamadu Iaia Djaló
1.55%
–
Baciro Djá
1.55%
–
Gabriel Fernando Indi
1.55%
–
Mário da Silva Júnior
1.45%
–
Siga Batista
1.45%
–
Honório Augusto Lopes
1.30%
–
João de Deus Mendes
1.15%
–
Herculano Armando Bequinsa
0.95%
–
Probability over time
Fernando Dias da Costa
Umaro Sissoco Embaló
José Mário Vaz
João Bernardo Vieira
Mamadu Iaia Djaló
Baciro Djá
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
