Guinea-Bissau Presidential Election

Most likely right now

Fernando Dias da Costa

–18%

PoliticsVol $246Total volume $338KLiquidity $103KComments 15Closed (Nov 23)

Current probability

Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%

Fernando Dias da Costa

17.8%

–

Umaro Sissoco Embaló

14.0%

▼0.5

Siga Batista

2.90%

–

Baciro Djá

2.65%

–

José Mário Vaz

2.60%

–

Mamadu Iaia Djaló

2.50%

–

Honório Augusto Lopes

2.50%

–

João Bernardo Vieira

2.25%

–

João de Deus Mendes

2.15%

–

Gabriel Fernando Indi

2.10%

–

Mário da Silva Júnior

2.00%

–

Herculano Armando Bequinsa

1.10%

–

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.