HI-01 House Election Winner
Polymarket traders put "Ed Case (D)" at 95.5% on "HI-01 House Election Winner". Unchanged from yesterday. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Ed Case (D)
–96%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $41KLiquidity $69Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Ed Case (D)
95.5%
–
Adriel Lam (R)
3.50%
–
Probability over time
Ed Case (D)
Adriel Lam (R)
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
