HI-01 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 50-55%" at 38.1% on "HI-01 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 7.8%p from yesterday. $96 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Democrat 50-55%
▲7.838%
PoliticsVol $96Total volume $19KLiquidity $119Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 50-55%
38.1%
▲7.8
Democrat 45-50%
17.5%
–
Democrat 35-40%
17.0%
▲1.5
Democrat 40-45%
13.1%
▼4.3
Democrat 55%+
7.50%
▼1.5
Democrat 30-35%
5.55%
▼3.9
Democrat 25-30%
0.15%
–
Democrat 15-25%
0.15%
–
Democrat 0-15%
0.15%
–
Republican Wins
0.15%
–
Probability over time
Democrat 50-55%
Democrat 45-50%
Democrat 35-40%
Democrat 40-45%
Democrat 55%+
Democrat 30-35%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %
