HI-01 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 55%+" at 32.0% on "HI-01 House Election Margin of Victory". Down 6.5%p from yesterday. There are 4 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Democrat 55%+
▼6.532%
PoliticsVol -Total volume -Liquidity $1.2Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 55%+
32.0%
▼6.5
Democrat 45-50%
31.0%
▼7.0
Democrat 30-35%
28.5%
▲1.5
Republican Wins
17.5%
▲14.1
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
