HI-02 House Election Winner

Polymarket traders put "Jill Tokuda (D)" at 95.5% on "HI-02 House Election Winner". Up 0.8%p from yesterday. $82 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.

Most likely right now
Jill Tokuda (D)
▲0.896%
PoliticsVol $82Total volume $70KLiquidity $92Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability

Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Jill Tokuda (D)
95.5%
▲0.8
Brenton Awa (R)
4.55%
–

Probability over time

Jill Tokuda (D)
Brenton Awa (R)
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/10
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.