HI-02 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 25-30%" at 30.5% on "HI-02 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 1.5%p from yesterday. There are 4 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Democrat 25-30%
▲1.531%
PoliticsVol -Total volume -Liquidity $1.1Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 25-30%
30.5%
▲1.5
Democrat 40-45%
30.0%
–
Democrat 30-35%
29.5%
▲0.5
Republican Wins
3.45%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
