HI-02 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 40-45%" at 25.5% on "HI-02 House Election Margin of Victory". $115 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Democrat 40-45%
–26%
PoliticsVol $115Total volume $15KLiquidity $100Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 40-45%
25.5%
–
Democrat 30-35%
20.2%
▲3.6
Democrat 35-40%
17.5%
▼19.5
Democrat 45-50%
15.6%
▲7.3
Democrat 50%+
6.30%
–
Democrat 20-25%
5.30%
▲1.7
Democrat 10-20%
3.55%
▼1.4
Democrat 25-30%
3.05%
–
Republican Wins
1.10%
–
Democrat 0-10%
0.15%
–
Probability over time
Democrat 40-45%
Democrat 30-35%
Democrat 35-40%
Democrat 45-50%
Democrat 50%+
Democrat 20-25%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
