Highest 7-day average ship traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait by December 31?
Polymarket traders put "35+" at 52.0% on "Highest 7-day average ship traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait by December 31?". $355 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 4 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.
Most likely right now
35+
–52%
PoliticsVol $355Total volume $355Liquidity $426in 2 months (Jan 1)
Current probability
Nov 15 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
35+
52.0%
–
45+
48.5%
–
50+
45.5%
–
55+
10.0%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
