Highest 7-day average ship traffic through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31?
Polymarket traders put "10+" at 38.5% on "Highest 7-day average ship traffic through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31?". $43 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 6 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.
Most likely right now
10+
–39%
PoliticsVol $43Total volume $43Liquidity $2.7Kin 2 months (Jan 1)
Current probability
Nov 15 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
10+
38.5%
–
20+
32.0%
–
30+
25.5%
–
40+
16.5%
–
50+
11.5%
–
60+
7.00%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
