Holborn and St Pancras By-Election: 3rd Place

Polymarket traders put "Ewan Cameron" at 48.5% on "Holborn and St Pancras By-Election: 3rd Place". $117 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 15 possible outcomes. It resolves on Oct 9.

Most likely right now
Ewan Cameron
–49%
PoliticsVol $117Total volume $117Liquidity $2.6Kin 3 days (Oct 9)
Current probability

Oct 6 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Ewan Cameron
48.5%
–
Peter Newman
25.0%
–
Briony Kapoor
24.6%
–
George Galloway
20.5%
–
Patrick Stillman
15.5%
–
Clare Fischer
4.10%
–
Tom Darwood
3.95%
–
Ketankumar Pipaliya
3.95%
–
Helen Spiby-Vann
3.95%
–
Ben Walker
3.95%
–
Sagal Abdi-Wali
3.90%
–
Barmy Brunch
3.80%
–
Tyler Johnson
3.80%
–
Jonathan Silberman
3.80%
–
Zack Polanski
3.75%
–

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.