Holborn and St Pancras By-Election: Green Vote Share?

Polymarket traders put "25-30%" at 28.5% on "Holborn and St Pancras By-Election: Green Vote Share?". Up 3.5%p from yesterday. $1.1K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 6 possible outcomes. It resolves on Oct 8.

Most likely right now
25-30%
3.528%
PoliticsVol $1.1KTotal volume $1.1KLiquidity $1.7Kin 23 days (Oct 8)
Current probability

Sep 16 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
25-30%
28.5%
3.5
30-35%
25.0%
4.0
20-25%
22.5%
3.5
<20%
15.5%
0.5
35-40%
10.0%
5.0
40%+
6.50%
14.0

Probability over time

25-30%
30-35%
20-25%
<20%
35-40%
40%+
02550751009/159/16
2026-09-15 ~ 2026-09-16 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.