Holborn and St Pancras By-Election: Labour Vote Share?
Polymarket traders put "40-45%" at 33.5% on "Holborn and St Pancras By-Election: Labour Vote Share?". Up 8.0%p from yesterday. $775 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 6 possible outcomes. It resolves on Oct 8.
Most likely right now
40-45%
▲8.034%
PoliticsVol $775Total volume $796Liquidity $20Kin 23 days (Oct 8)
Current probability
Sep 16 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
40-45%
33.5%
▲8.0
35-40%
22.5%
▼4.5
45-50%
18.0%
▲2.0
50%+
16.0%
–
<30%
11.5%
▼12.5
30-35%
11.0%
▼13.0
Probability over time
40-45%
35-40%
45-50%
50%+
<30%
30-35%
2026-09-15 ~ 2026-09-16 · y-axis %
