Holborn and St Pancras By-Election: Vote Share Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Labour 15%+" at 33.5% on "Holborn and St Pancras By-Election: Vote Share Margin of Victory". Up 8.5%p from yesterday. $650 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 8 possible outcomes. It resolves on Oct 8.
Most likely right now
Labour 15%+
▲8.534%
PoliticsVol $650Total volume $650Liquidity $16Kin 23 days (Oct 8)
Current probability
Sep 16 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Labour 15%+
33.5%
▲8.5
Labour 10-15%
23.5%
▼36.5
Labour 0-5%
17.0%
▼0.5
Green 10-15%
12.5%
▼5.5
Labour 5-10%
10.0%
▼15.0
Green 0-5%
9.50%
▼13.5
Green 5-10%
9.00%
▼26.0
Green 15%+
4.05%
▼13.5
Probability over time
Labour 15%+
Labour 10-15%
Labour 0-5%
Green 10-15%
Labour 5-10%
Green 0-5%
2026-09-15 ~ 2026-09-16 · y-axis %
