Holborn and St Pancras By-Election Winner

Polymarket traders put "Gio Spinella" at 30.1% on "Holborn and St Pancras By-Election Winner". $563 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 22 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jul 1.

Most likely right now
Gio Spinella
30%
PoliticsVol $563Total volume $563Liquidity $108KComments 2in 10 months (Jul 1)
Current probability

Sep 2 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Gio Spinella
30.1%
Siân Berry
29.2%
Mehreen Malik
28.5%
Georgia Gould
28.0%
Sagal Abdi-Wali
23.5%
Zack Polanski
22.5%
Luisa Porritt
7.00%
Pat Callaghan
6.50%
Hamza Chowdhury
6.50%
James White
6.50%
Adam Harrison
6.00%
Richard Olszewski
6.00%
Sarah Hayward
6.00%
Keith Moffitt
6.00%
David Roberts
5.55%
Oliver Cooper
5.35%
Tricia Leman
5.00%
Charlie Clinton
5.00%
Lorna Jane Russell
4.50%
David Stansell
4.50%
Sarah Pochin
4.40%
Jim Monahan
4.00%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.