Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
Polymarket traders put "December 31" at 34.5% on "Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)". Down 13.0%p from yesterday. $5.4K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 4 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.
Most likely right now
December 31
▼13.035%
PoliticsVol $5.4KTotal volume $110KLiquidity $63KComments 4in 2 months (Jan 1)
Current probability
Nov 2 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
December 31
34.5%
▼13.0
November 30
25.5%
▼13.0
November 15
13.0%
▼12.5
October 31
1.25%
▼5.9
Probability over time
December 31
November 30
November 15
October 31
2026-09-18 ~ 2026-11-02 · y-axis %
