Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
Polymarket traders put "October 31" at 45.0% on "Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)". $208 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 3 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.
Most likely right now
October 31
–45%
PoliticsVol $208Total volume $208Liquidity $308in 4 months (Jan 1)
Current probability
Sep 18 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
October 31
45.0%
–
September 30
42.5%
–
September 23
38.5%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
