How long will Xi and Takaichi shake hands?

Polymarket traders put "2–6s" at 43.5% on "How long will Xi and Takaichi shake hands?". $4.2K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 7 possible outcomes. It resolves on Dec 1.

Most likely right now
2–6s
–44%
PoliticsVol $4.2KTotal volume $4.2KLiquidity $25Kin 20 days (Dec 1)
Current probability

Nov 11 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
2–6s
43.5%
–
6–10s
26.0%
–
No Handshake
16.0%
–
Photographed only
8.00%
–
10–15s
5.00%
–
<2s
4.50%
–
15s+
2.05%
–

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.