How many Democratic House Incumbents will not win their Primary?
Polymarket traders put "10-12" at 93.0% on "How many Democratic House Incumbents will not win their Primary?". Down 2.4%p from yesterday. $537 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 2 possible outcomes.
Most likely right now
10-12
▼2.493%
PoliticsVol $537Total volume $60KLiquidity $23KComments 7
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
10-12
93.0%
▼2.4
13-15
7.50%
▲2.6
Probability over time
10-12
13-15
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
