How many House seats will the Democrats win in Arizona?
Polymarket traders put "5" at 53.5% on "How many House seats will the Democrats win in Arizona?". There are 6 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
5
–54%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $25KLiquidity $135Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
5
53.5%
–
4
19.7%
–
6
18.0%
▼1.0
3
4.25%
–
7+
2.85%
▼0.8
<3
0.30%
–
Probability over time
5
4
6
3
7+
<3
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
