How many House seats will the Democrats win in Michigan?

Polymarket traders put "9" at 35.0% on "How many House seats will the Democrats win in Michigan?". $52 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 7 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.

Most likely right now
9
–35%
PoliticsVol $52Total volume $32KLiquidity $136Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability

Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
9
35.0%
–
8
24.5%
▲1.0
7
20.0%
▲1.0
6
12.0%
▼3.5
10+
3.40%
▲0.9
<5
0.25%
–
5
0.25%
–

Probability over time

9
8
7
6
10+
<5
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/10
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.