How many House seats will the Democrats win in Minnesota?

Polymarket traders put "4" at 70.5% on "How many House seats will the Democrats win in Minnesota?". There are 5 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.

Most likely right now
4
–71%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $17KLiquidity $97Kin 24 days (Nov 4)
Current probability

Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
4
70.5%
–
5
16.0%
▼0.5
6+
5.00%
▼1.0
<3
4.55%
▲3.7
3
3.80%
▲1.1

Probability over time

4
5
6+
<3
3
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/10
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.