How many House seats will the Democrats win in Nevada?

Polymarket traders put "3" at 48.5% on "How many House seats will the Democrats win in Nevada?". Down 0.5%p from yesterday. $20 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 5 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.

Most likely right now
3
0.549%
PoliticsVol $20Total volume $3.4KLiquidity $18Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability

Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
3
48.5%
0.5
2
19.5%
4
19.5%
1.5
1
7.15%
0
0.40%

Probability over time

3
2
4
1
0
02550751008/258/26
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.