How many House seats will the Democrats win in Nevada?

Polymarket traders put "3" at 67.5% on "How many House seats will the Democrats win in Nevada?". Up 1.0%p from yesterday. $46 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 5 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.

Most likely right now
3
▲1.068%
PoliticsVol $46Total volume $20KLiquidity $81Kin 24 days (Nov 4)
Current probability

Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
3
67.5%
▲1.0
4
24.5%
–
2
4.85%
▼2.1
1
4.25%
▲2.3
0
0.75%
–

Probability over time

3
4
2
1
0
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/10
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.