How many House seats will the Democrats win in New Jersey?

Polymarket traders put "10" at 69.5% on "How many House seats will the Democrats win in New Jersey?". Down 0.5%p from yesterday. There are 5 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.

Most likely right now
10
▼0.570%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $13KLiquidity $77Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability

Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
10
69.5%
▼0.5
9
15.0%
▲1.0
11+
11.0%
–
8
5.80%
–
<8
0.60%
–

Probability over time

10
9
11+
8
<8
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/9
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.