How many House seats will the Democrats win in New York?
Polymarket traders put "20" at 35.5% on "How many House seats will the Democrats win in New York?". $245 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 7 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
20
–36%
PoliticsVol $245Total volume $9.5KLiquidity $164Kin 26 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
20
35.5%
–
21+
31.5%
▲0.5
19
24.5%
▼0.5
18
6.70%
▲1.7
16
1.15%
–
17
0.75%
–
<16
0.15%
–
Probability over time
20
21+
19
18
16
17
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
