How many House seats will the Democrats win in North Carolina?

Polymarket traders put "5" at 46.0% on "How many House seats will the Democrats win in North Carolina?". There are 5 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.

Most likely right now
5
–46%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $17KLiquidity $97Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability

Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
5
46.0%
–
6+
20.1%
▼2.5
4
17.5%
–
3
14.0%
–
<3
1.00%
–

Probability over time

5
6+
4
3
<3
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/9
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.