How many House seats will the Democrats win in Ohio?

Polymarket traders put "6" at 38.0% on "How many House seats will the Democrats win in Ohio?". Up 0.5%p from yesterday. There are 7 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.

Most likely right now
6
▲0.538%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $30KLiquidity $153Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability

Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
6
38.0%
▲0.5
7+
29.5%
▼0.5
5
22.5%
▲0.5
4
9.50%
–
3
1.55%
–
<2
0.10%
–
2
0.05%
–

Probability over time

6
7+
5
4
3
<2
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/9
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.