How many House seats will the Democrats win in Texas?

Polymarket traders put "12" at 23.5% on "How many House seats will the Democrats win in Texas?". Up 1.0%p from yesterday. $7 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 8 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.

Most likely right now
12
▲1.024%
PoliticsVol $7Total volume $17KLiquidity $138Kin 26 days (Nov 4)
Current probability

Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
12
23.5%
▲1.0
11
22.0%
–
13
17.0%
▼2.0
10
15.0%
–
14+
14.5%
–
9
8.00%
–
8
2.65%
–
<8
0.60%
–

Probability over time

12
11
13
10
14+
9
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/9
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.