How many House seats will the Democrats win in Virginia?

Polymarket traders put "7" at 37.0% on "How many House seats will the Democrats win in Virginia?". Down 1.0%p from yesterday. There are 6 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.

Most likely right now
7
▼1.037%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $9.1KLiquidity $131Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability

Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
7
37.0%
▼1.0
8
29.5%
–
9+
16.0%
–
6
13.0%
▼0.5
5
0.70%
–
<5
0.55%
–

Probability over time

7
8
9+
6
5
<5
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/9
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.