How many House seats will the Democrats win in Wisconsin?

Polymarket traders put "3" at 44.5% on "How many House seats will the Democrats win in Wisconsin?". Up 1.0%p from yesterday. There are 5 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.

Most likely right now
3
▲1.045%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $6.4KLiquidity $79Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability

Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
3
44.5%
▲1.0
4
24.0%
–
2
19.5%
▼0.5
<2
7.80%
▲1.2
5+
7.25%
–

Probability over time

3
4
2
<2
5+
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/9
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.