How many Israeli elections before government formed?

Polymarket traders put "1" at 65.0% on "How many Israeli elections before government formed?". Up 0.5%p from yesterday. $236 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 6 possible outcomes. It resolves on Oct 27.

Most likely right now
1
▲0.565%
PoliticsVol $236Total volume $63KLiquidity $92KComments 8in 17 days (Oct 27)
Current probability

Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
1
65.0%
▲0.5
2
28.5%
–
3
6.15%
–
4
0.70%
–
0
0.45%
–
5+
0.05%
–

Probability over time

1
2
3
4
0
5+
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/9
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %

Other markets in this category

Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.