How many Republican Governors after the 2026 midterm elections?

Polymarket traders put "24–25" at 31.5% on "How many Republican Governors after the 2026 midterm elections?". Up 7.5%p from yesterday. $684 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 7 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.

Most likely right now
24–25
7.532%
PoliticsVol $684Total volume $690KLiquidity $56KComments 4in 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability

Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
24–25
31.5%
7.5
22–23
28.0%
4.5
<22
18.5%
10.5
26–27
18.5%
28–29
2.85%
30–31
0.80%
32+
0.30%

Probability over time

24–25
22–23
<22
26–27
28–29
30–31
02550751008/258/26
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.