How many seats will New People (NL) win in the next Russian legislative election?

Polymarket traders put "<35" at 72.5% on "How many seats will New People (NL) win in the next Russian legislative election?". $1.2K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 7 possible outcomes. It resolves on Sep 20.

Most likely right now
<35
73%
PoliticsVol $1.2KTotal volume $1.2KLiquidity $39Kin 18 days (Sep 20)
Current probability

Sep 3 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
<35
72.5%
45–54
7.00%
35–44
6.15%
65–74
4.50%
75–84
4.15%
55–64
3.90%
85+
2.35%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.