How many Senate and Governor elections will Republicans win in states won by Kamala?
Polymarket traders put "2" at 42.0% on "How many Senate and Governor elections will Republicans win in states won by Kamala?". There are 7 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
2
–42%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $43KLiquidity $113Kin 26 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
2
42.0%
–
3
31.5%
–
1
10.5%
–
4
6.60%
▲0.7
6+
6.20%
–
5
2.80%
–
0
1.65%
–
Probability over time
2
3
1
4
6+
5
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
