How many Senate and House seats will Republicans have after the midterms?
Most likely right now
47–49 and 193–207
▼2.523%
PoliticsVol $490Total volume $28KLiquidity $138KComments 2in 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
47–49 and 193–207
22.7%
▼2.5
≤46 and 193–207
15.2%
▼6.9
≤46 and ≤192
13.9%
▼1.1
50–52 and 208–222
12.4%
▲5.9
47–49 and ≥208
11.5%
▲6.3
50–52 and 193–207
11.1%
▼1.8
47–49 and ≤192
10.3%
▲1.0
≥53 and 208–222
4.45%
▲1.0
50–52 and ≥223
2.90%
–
50–52 and ≤192
2.35%
–
≥53 and ≥223
2.05%
▼13.5
≥53 and ≤207
1.70%
–
≤46 and ≥208
1.20%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
