How many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of August 31?
Polymarket traders put "190-209" at 42.5% on "How many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of August 31?". $108 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 5 possible outcomes. It resolves on Sep 6.
Most likely right now
190-209
–43%
PoliticsVol $108Total volume $25KLiquidity $11Kin 6 days (Sep 6)
Current probability
Sep 1 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
190-209
42.5%
–
170-189
32.5%
–
210-229
13.5%
▲3.5
230+
7.50%
▼0.5
<170
4.45%
▲2.5
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
