How many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of October 12?
Polymarket traders put "190-209" at 41.5% on "How many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of October 12?". Up 26.5%p from yesterday. $1.3K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 3 possible outcomes. It resolves on Oct 19.
Most likely right now
190-209
▲26.542%
PoliticsVol $1.3KTotal volume $1.3KLiquidity $11Kin 8 days (Oct 19)
Current probability
Oct 11 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
190-209
41.5%
▲26.5
<170
33.0%
▲8.0
230+
9.00%
▼5.5
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
