How many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of October 19?
Polymarket traders put "190-209" at 29.5% on "How many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of October 19?". $97 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 5 possible outcomes. It resolves on Oct 26.
Most likely right now
190-209
–30%
PoliticsVol $97Total volume $97Liquidity $22Kin 12 days (Oct 26)
Current probability
Oct 14 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
190-209
29.5%
–
230+
19.0%
–
170-189
17.0%
–
<170
15.0%
–
210-229
15.0%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
