How many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of October 26?
Polymarket traders put "190-209" at 37.5% on "How many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of October 26?". $385 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 5 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 2.
Most likely right now
190-209
–38%
PoliticsVol $385Total volume $385Liquidity $21Kin 10 days (Nov 2)
Current probability
Oct 23 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
190-209
37.5%
–
230+
25.0%
–
210-229
22.0%
–
170-189
18.5%
–
<170
17.5%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
