How many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of September 21?
Polymarket traders put "190-209" at 25.5% on "How many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of September 21?". $20 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 5 possible outcomes. It resolves on Sep 27.
Most likely right now
190-209
–26%
PoliticsVol $20Total volume $20Liquidity $586in 5 days (Sep 27)
Current probability
Sep 23 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
190-209
25.5%
–
210-229
25.5%
–
<170
24.5%
–
170-189
14.5%
–
230+
14.5%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
