How many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of September 28?
Polymarket traders put "170-189" at 26.0% on "How many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of September 28?". $21 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Oct 4.
Most likely right now
170-189
–26%
PoliticsVol $21Total volume $21Liquidity $510in 12 days (Oct 4)
Current probability
Sep 23 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
170-189
26.0%
–
230+
12.5%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
