How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of August 31?
Polymarket traders put "20-39" at 77.5% on "How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of August 31?". Up 1.5%p from yesterday. $1.1K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 5 possible outcomes. It resolves on Sep 6.
Most likely right now
20-39
▲1.578%
PoliticsVol $1.1KTotal volume $16KLiquidity $8.6Kin 6 days (Sep 6)
Current probability
Sep 1 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
20-39
77.5%
▲1.5
<20
12.0%
▼1.0
40-59
11.0%
–
60-79
1.80%
–
80+
0.30%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
