How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of November 9?
Polymarket traders put "25-29" at 45.0% on "How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of November 9?". Down 0.5%p from yesterday. $249 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 6 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 16.
Most likely right now
25-29
▼0.545%
PoliticsVol $249Total volume $217Liquidity $846in 6 days (Nov 16)
Current probability
Nov 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
25-29
45.0%
▼0.5
20-24
44.5%
▼1.0
30-34
40.0%
▼5.0
<20
37.0%
▲19.0
35-39
14.0%
▼31.5
40+
6.50%
▼38.5
Probability over time
25-29
20-24
30-34
<20
35-39
40+
2026-11-05 ~ 2026-11-10 · y-axis %
