How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of October 12?
Polymarket traders put "20-24" at 23.5% on "How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of October 12?". Up 7.0%p from yesterday. $1.6K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 6 possible outcomes. It resolves on Oct 19.
Most likely right now
20-24
▲7.024%
PoliticsVol $1.6KTotal volume $1.6KLiquidity $28Kin 8 days (Oct 19)
Current probability
Oct 11 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
20-24
23.5%
▲7.0
25-29
23.0%
▲6.5
<20
20.0%
▲8.5
35-39
19.5%
▼0.5
30-34
19.0%
▲4.0
40+
6.00%
▼7.5
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
