How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of October 19?
Polymarket traders put "<20" at 25.0% on "How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of October 19?". $386 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 3 possible outcomes. It resolves on Oct 26.
Most likely right now
<20
–25%
PoliticsVol $386Total volume $386Liquidity $361in 12 days (Oct 26)
Current probability
Oct 14 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
<20
25.0%
–
20-24
15.0%
–
40+
6.00%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
