How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of September 14?

Polymarket traders put "30-34" at 39.0% on "How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of September 14?". Up 13.0%p from yesterday. $16 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 6 possible outcomes. It resolves on Sep 20.

Most likely right now
30-34
13.039%
PoliticsVol $16Total volume $16Liquidity $9.1Kin 8 days (Sep 20)
Current probability

Sep 13 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
30-34
39.0%
13.0
20-24
37.5%
11.0
35-39
22.0%
24.5
25-29
20.5%
6.5
<20
14.0%
32.5
40+
8.00%
17.0

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.