How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of September 28?

Polymarket traders put "30-34" at 54.5% on "How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of September 28?". $65 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 5 possible outcomes. It resolves on Oct 4.

Most likely right now
30-34
55%
PoliticsVol $65Total volume $65Liquidity $796in 12 days (Oct 4)
Current probability

Sep 23 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
30-34
54.5%
25-29
52.5%
35-39
25.5%
20-24
14.5%
<20
12.5%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.