How many UKMTO notices November 16–22?
Polymarket traders put "4-7" at 61.5% on "How many UKMTO notices November 16–22?". Down 5.0%p from yesterday. $60 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 5 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 23.
Most likely right now
4-7
▼5.062%
PoliticsVol $60Total volume $122Liquidity $755in 8 days (Nov 23)
Current probability
Nov 15 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
4-7
61.5%
▼5.0
16+
37.5%
▲18.5
<4
37.0%
▼3.5
12-15
34.5%
▼6.0
8-11
26.0%
▼13.5
Probability over time
4-7
16+
<4
12-15
8-11
2026-11-12 ~ 2026-11-15 · y-axis %
