How many UKMTO notices October 19–25?

Polymarket traders put "<8" at 33.0% on "How many UKMTO notices October 19–25?". $659 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 5 possible outcomes. It resolves on Oct 26.

Most likely right now
<8
–33%
PoliticsVol $659Total volume $679Liquidity $32Kin 9 days (Oct 26)
Current probability

Oct 17 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
<8
33.0%
–
8-11
23.5%
–
12-15
21.5%
–
20+
14.0%
–
16-19
11.5%
–

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.